28JAN09:
Q1-09 DOW: 8900
Q2-09 DOW: 7250
Q3-09 DOW: 5810
Q4-09 DOW: 3960
CITI NATIONALIZED
OBAMA GETS SICK 27AUG09:
Mini Crash 21SEP09 Predicted correctly:
Bailout=Bonuses
Demise of Bear Stearns
Demise of Lehman Bros.
Demise of AIG
Subprime would cause problems
Date of 2007 crash
CRAs were to blame
G20 riots were a party
Northern Rock run
Northern Rock Nationalization
HBOS and RBS demise
UBS really was Useless
Why the media is so surprised at the latest stellar profits from the Investment Banks is rather bizarre. Any company that can offload its bad debts and get a decent fair value as well as pushing its hard to price illiquid assets into off balance hedge funds (I mean Goldman have been doing this for years) despite socialist regulators capping their remuneration policies and restricting their business practices by demanding a strong balance sheet, could not do anything but make profit is madness.
Risk is about mitigation. When the mitigation is a government, taking large risk becomes a no brainer. We have all been duped because socialists are on the whole simple people and fighting against some of the smartest people on the planet is rather dumb.
Never in history has socialism benefited the rich at the expense of the poor. Actually, that is a complete lie. Socialism is a dictatorship and the selected few always benefit at the expense at the poor and stupid. Obama should get the Nobel Prize for Being a Pratt.
Of course this is all good news for luxury product providers and despite down sizing my demands on my current soft marketing trip, it is clear that from hotels to night clubs, the Incompetent Bankers are back.
Except they are no longer Incompetent but Incredible. The Incredible Bankers are back. Except Bruce W who never got to retire. I never met the guy but he seemed to be a smooth operator. Maybe he passed away because he too couldn't believe what was happening to Investment Banking?
GOLDMAN NET BEATS ESTIMATES ON TRADING, INVESTMENTS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the most profitable securities firm in Wall Street history, reported third-quarter earnings that exceeded analysts' estimates on trading gains and investments with the company's own money.
Net income more than doubled to $3.19 billion, or $5.25 per share, in the three months ended Sept. 25, from $845 million, or $1.81 a share, in last year's third quarter, the New York-based company said today in a statement. The average estimate of 22 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was for $4.18 a share, with forecasts ranging from $3.48 to $4.75.
Fintag says Of course this is wonderful news for all of us involved in Financial Services. A bit like the Airline Industry being propped up by Governments of old, where all the side industries were indirectly subsized by the tax payer, Hedge Funds and the like have to embrace this new socialism because it benefits us as much as the banks. The fact all these short term wins are at the benefit of the next generation, who gives a hoot?
There was a time when protectionism was frowned upon but in todays collaborative market place, the banks are the first industry in the world to be protected by all countries.
Socialists protecting Capitalists.
If you look carfeully, it is the same old same. Fixed Income bond issuances based on crap underlyings. Subprime 2.0 lives on.
LIGHTS DIM FOR AMERICAN BANKS IN LONDON, BUT RIVALS RUSH TO FILL THE GAP
An American downgrade of London leaves a gap, which others are rushing to fill. Compared to their US rivals, Barclays, Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank have more international management teams but each has to struggle to gain market share from US firms. Japanese Nomura did it in one big move, by taking over the European operations of Lehman Brothers.
By the time US banks are ready to rediscover their Anglophile tendencies, it will be much harder to rush back in.
Britain's economy was consigned to an EU list of those at 'high risk' yesterday because of the spiralling national debt.
The European Commission issued a humiliating warning that the worsening budget deficit poses 'serious concerns' that the country will be unable to meet future spending commitments, such as pensions.
Fintag says The UK set the agenda and it ends going bust while the US rides high. Don't you get the feeling you have been conned?
The day after suffering the most brutal critical pasting of his career, Damien Hirst woke up today to discover that he is no longer considered one of the real movers and shakers in contemporary art.
Last year, after capping a long line of pickled sharks and sheep with a £50 million diamon-encrusted skull, Hirst was ranked No 1 by the influential ArtReview magazine in its annual Power 100 list, which is released to coincide with the Frieze Art Fair in London.
Fintag says So where is his bailout?
14 comments
anonymous said ...
I really fancy a glass of Screaming Eagle right now...
15 Oct 09 - 14:21 gmt
cranky yankee said ...
okay, how did a Yank get second, what with time zones and all? yay me. :)
15 Oct 09 - 14:34 gmt
anonymous said ...
Because the newsletter today came out after 2pm UK time you dildo
15 Oct 09 - 15:52 gmt
anonymous said ...
so, where is this market correction?
15 Oct 09 - 17:19 gmt
Confused said ...
Quiet day...
15 Oct 09 - 17:35 gmt
anonymous said ...
Did anyone else read aoab's blog y/day. Helped me make a nice bit of mint on Oil. Rock on aoab
16 Oct 09 - 08:54 gmt
Biscuits said ...
Hello aoab....why you bother is beyond me...you have used the word "mint" in your blog post too... "Rock on" mate. Fool
16 Oct 09 - 09:37 gmt
author of a blog said ...
@Biscuits you cannot deny the call on oil was wrong...I know the whole currency call was a pile of poo...but I was posting since wed about Oil and a breakout of the top of the trading range of 76.2...
16 Oct 09 - 09:48 gmt
anonymous said ...
Don't you get it??Can you just put your views on your blog..this comments section is not for those,ok. You have your blog for that. You are embarrassing yourself trying to pretend it's not you.
16 Oct 09 - 09:54 gmt
anonymous said ...
You are totally delusional. You're saying you're a great trader but you got one out of two trades totally wrong? Ever heard of coin flipping? And why do you keep posting here pretending to be someone else pumping up your blog, that is unbelievably shallow. Re-read the first sentence of your response to Biscuits too...idiotic. Cannot deny it was wrong - duh!
16 Oct 09 - 09:59 gmt
anonymous said ...
@aoab. On 28 August you said "I predict a event will take place b/ween sept 9-13 that will have a major impact on global mkts". How do you think you did with that? Could you just do everyone a favour and post on your blog not here?
16 Oct 09 - 10:07 gmt
Confused said ...
@aoab: I have been slower to criticise and ridicule you than most, but posing as anon, and then admitting doing so rather takes the biscuit. My curiosity had been piqued by some of your trade proposals (although, it must be said, due in no small part to their rather peculiar nature), and I would have been happy to discuss ideas with you, but the shameless self-promotion in which you seem to take great pleasure has led to the rescission of that offer, at least for the moment.
16 Oct 09 - 17:19 gmt
anonymous said ...
why must subprime 2.0 live? why can't someone somewhere pull the plug? they want to do it on grandmother and grandfather with NHS.
someone somewhere please pull the plug on this bizzaro world where printing money is equal to real money.
16 Oct 09 - 18:10 gmt
Moron said ...
Bizzaro world...:))someone's reading too much Cody Willard:)))....Moron knows everything!!!!