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Fortune Telling
28JAN09:
Q1-09 DOW: 8900
Q2-09 DOW: 7250
Q3-09 DOW: 5810
Q4-09 DOW: 3960
CITI NATIONALIZED
OBAMA GETS SICK
27AUG09:
Mini Crash 21SEP09
Predicted correctly:
Bailout=Bonuses
Demise of Bear Stearns
Demise of Lehman Bros.
Demise of AIG
Subprime would cause problems
Date of 2007 crash
CRAs were to blame
G20 riots were a party
Northern Rock run
Northern Rock Nationalization
HBOS and RBS demise
UBS really was Useless


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THE FINTAG NEWSLETTER
@ Wed 12 August 2009 : GMT

Punch Cartoon 1911

FINTAG COMMENT

Sept 20, 1920.

Most of you will have no idea why this is one of the most important dates in US history. In New York, 100 pounds of dynamite and assorted metal objects were driven into a business district and caused serious damage to the buildings as well as killing 36 people and injuring 400. Worst of all, these bankers and brokers hadn't finished their lunch. This was one of the worst terrorist attacks in US history long before Bush jumped on the moral panic bandwagon post 9/11.

The anarchists of 1920 are long lost in the midst of time and yet we all know about 9/11. You see, we are living in a world of BTI and PTI where recent history is more relevant and important that distant history. Just like believing terrorism is a new world threat despite it existing in many forms since time began, we like to view recent events as new, original and valid.

Before The Internet events are almost treated as myths, legends or fantasy whereas Post The Internet everything is real.

In 1999 I launched a successful dot com company that wasn't so successful in 2000. If I search google, it cannot be found. This was only 10 years ago and it is lost. It is as if our successes and mistakes are zapped from the history books.

On my travels I met the Professor of technology at Princeton university. We talked about the day when everything we did would be recorded to a mini 4 terabyte hard drive implanted in our heads when we were born. It won't be long when everything we do shall be recorded and life will be a lot simpler. Super computers will be able to analyse the way we all behave and work out the optimal solutions to all problems and actually learn by our mistakes. The markets will become perfect and this pouring of cash into the Equity markets would stop for it is irrational and this is exactly what happened during the previous 2 depressions.

Hopefully I wont be here then. Nobody wants perfect markets.

GRAFF DIAMONDS £40 MILLION JEWELLERY ROBBERY IS BRITAIN'S BIGGEST GEM HEIST

telegraph

Scotland Yard have issued CCTV images of two men dressed in suits, concealing handguns, who escaped with 43 rings, bracelets, necklaces and watches from the central London store last week.

They threatened staff at Graff's with handguns, briefly seized a woman employee as a hostage, and fired warning shots as they made a getaway in a series of cars. The extent of the heist had been kept secret but police have now disclosed that the items stolen had a retail value of $65 million (£40 million). Britain's previous biggest diamond jewellery robbery is believed to be a £23 million raid, which also took place at Graff's, in 2003.
Fintag says
I can assure you that these men are not well dressed and that rules me out.



MADOFF FEEDER FUNDS SUE INSURERS

emii / bloomberg

Tremont Group Holdings, along with other feeder funds, has sued a group of insurers for their inability to cover Bernard Madoff-related litigation, Bloomberg reports. The New York fund-of-funds, which had about $3.3 billion invested with Madoff, is a unit of MassMutual Financial Group.

Investors have filed over 18 cases against MassMutual seeking to recover Madoff-related losses. The complaint also names CNA Financial unit Continental Casualty Co., along with some underwriters of the Lloyd's of London insurance market and Great American Insurance.
Fintag says
Amazing. Truly amazing.

RAIN CAUSES SUGAR TO HIT 28-YEAR HIGH

telegraph

A spoonful of sugar is about to become more expensive after freak weather conditions in Brazil and India caused wholesale prices to hit a near 28-year high.

The price of sugar has shot up 80pc this year, with one metric tonne of sugar for October delivery rising to $560 on the key London commodity exchange last night.

India, the second biggest exporter of sugar and the world's biggest consumer of it, is likely to see its crops decimated after experiencing a 28pc drop in monsoon rain.
Fintag says
I hope you were paying attention yesterday ...

END OF AN ERA AS ATTICUS CAPITAL CLOSES TWO HEDGE FUNDS

times

Atticus Capital, the hedge fund manager co-chaired by Nathaniel Rothschild, scion of the famous banking family, will be reduced to bare bones after announcing plans to return $4 billion (£2.4 billion) to investors.

Timothy Barakett, 44, the Canadian who founded Atticus with $6 million in start-up cash in 1995, wrote to investors yesterday to tell them that he would close two of his funds, Atticus Global, worth $3.4 billion, and the $600 million Atticus Trading. Only one fund, Atticus European, worth $1.1 billion and managed by David Slager, will continue to operate.

At its height in 2007, Atticus was worth $20 billion, but in the year to July 31 it returned minus 13.3 per cent, underperforming the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund index, which showed a minus 9.3 per cent return over the same period.
Fintag says
Not much you can say to this except I wish I could hand that sort of AUM back and not feel guilty about it. Maybe it was too much responsibility and there is more to life than trading, Hiding behind closed downs and weilding that power you have in shifting markets. Is there? Please let me know because my dabbling as a triathlon fishing monk has not reaped the rewards I thought it would.

US RECESSION ENDING WITH A ROAR

finfacts

Last week, economists at US investment bank Morgan Stanley said incoming US economic data - - including a 1% annualized decline in Q2 real GDP and flat final sales - - confirm that the deepest and longest post-war recession is now ending. And it's ending with a roar: A temporary surge in vehicle production is likely to pace a much stronger rebound from recession than was thought only a month ago, so GDP may rise 3-4% annualized in Q3. On Wednesday, MS rival Goldman Sachs, tripled its forecast for inflation-adjusted economic growth to a 3% annual rate for the second half of this year. And after that? They see the growth rate steadily declining to 2% in the first half of 2010 and 1.5% in the second half. MS said the recession and recovery are starting to look more 'V'-shaped: Revised data now show that the economy declined by 3.7% since the recession began in Q4 2007, making it the deepest post-war downturn. But significant economic headwinds mean that the Q3 surge is unlikely to spill over into a stronger overall recovery. And with inflation declining, a tighter monetary policy is unlikely soon. The economists at MS say the Fed will remain on hold until mid-2010.
Fintag says
With interest rates at zero and equity markets bubbling then what would you expect? This still doesn't solve the horrendous debt situation that most Western governments have built up. But I would never diss a Goldmorgan Stanley report ...

ft alphaville says " Introducing the BoE Macro Plus Fund "

DIPASCALI: MADOFF BUSINESS 'ALL FAKE'

financial times

Frank DiPascali, a senior lieutenant to Bernard Madoff, pleaded guilty on Tuesday to 10 criminal charges and provided extensive new details about the $65bn Ponzi scheme orchestrated by his long-time boss, saying: “It was all fake. It was all fictitious.”

Mr DiPascali, who has agreed to co-operate with prosecutors, told the court how he, Mr Madoff and unnamed others manufactured millions of pages of fake documents, regularly lied to investors and regulators, and moved money to London and back to throw watchdogs off the scent of the decades-long scheme.
Fintag says
So that means his family were aware of the scam.

CV LYING ON THE INCREASE

here is the city

The number of candidates whose CVs contain a discrepancy increased this year to 19% - its highest level for three years.

Nearly all kinds of companies within the financial sector saw an increase in the number of applicants with discrepancies in their applications. The largest increase was in the IT sector.

Brokers have a disproportionately large number of candidates applying to them with hidden criminal records.
Fintag says
This really irritates me as it costs money to verify the CV. Someone should set up a service that rubber stamps CVs / resumes. I would pay for that service and every other HR dept would do the same. The recruitment agents should be sued for misrepresentation.

Anyone up for this biz opp?

TUDOR

Tudor

August 3, 2009

Dear Limited Partner:

The Tudor BVI Global Fund L.P. Trading Interests (“Tudor BVI Trading Interests”
or the “Fund”) completed the first half of 2009 with a net return of +10.67% for Class A
(FINRA Unrestricted) and +10.66% for Class B (FINRA Restricted) Shares. Class D and
Class E Series 1 Interests, which were first issued on March 1, 2009, completed their first
four months with a net return of +4.38% and +4.39%, respectively.

As of this writing, we are able to report an estimated net return for the month of
July of +1.04% for Class A and Class B Interests and +0.82% for Class D and Class E
Series 1 Interests. Our report for the quarter ended June 30, 2009 and our current market
outlook follows.

Very truly yours,
Paul T. Jones II

Chairman

Tudor Investment Corporation
Trading Advisor to The Tudor BVI Global Portfolio L.P.
Fintag says
I am often asked what a real hedge fund newsletter looks like. Well here is one. Interesting eh? This part did catch my eye:

"Tudor Tensor/Tudor Momentum Managed Accounts. As of July 1, 2009, the firm opened its first managed account for the Tudor Tensor managed futures strategy. The Tudor Tensor set of models is a large component of the systematic trading conducted in the Portfolio Trading Interests. Managed accounts for Tudor Tensor (a multi-strategy systematic futures program currently featuring participation in up to 16 quantitative systems) and for Tudor Momentum (a trend-following program currently featuring four
quantitative systems) will be offered to qualified investors on a limited basis. We will not be offering a managed account program for Tudor BVI Trading Interests, due to its complexity across traders and counterparties."

So after all these years, Tudor has succumbed to the world of transparency.





19 comments
Munch the Greatest said ...
First!

Bitches!

12 Aug 09 - 07:02 gmt
damiendamien said ...
1) Check out Buda's Wagon:A Brief History of the Car Bomb
2) William Brown is a smart man. His control fraud sounds eerily like one of our best loved banks (asset stripping, paying silly bonuses in current climate, elaborate financial engineering solely for obfuscation)
3)Not a bad idea. Stick QRcodes on them so they can be checked with minimum hassle via iPhone against online version held with 'rating agency'.

12 Aug 09 - 08:51 gmt
author of a blog said ...
Just got back vacationing in the adriatic, was crazy amount of american traders / ex traders out there at the moment. Was great for networking and making new contacts

12 Aug 09 - 12:41 gmt
Moron said ...
haaa choooo:)))


12 Aug 09 - 12:42 gmt
anonymous said ...
@author of a blog - I think you meant to post that on your blog, not here. Here, nobody cares about what you think.

12 Aug 09 - 12:56 gmt
author of a blog said ...
anon 12.56 I have posted a snippet on my blog, will also be putting up some pics. Honestly Hvar is populated by glamazons in swimwear and golden brown tans skipping from one yacht to another on the harbour

12 Aug 09 - 13:10 gmt
author of a blog said ...
I punted on some USDCAD options at IG index before going on hol...I recommend others get into this pair ahead of the FOMC

12 Aug 09 - 13:13 gmt
FSA said ...
No tips on this weblog please. Author of a blog - please come to the FSA headquarters right now. And be prepared to do some porridge

12 Aug 09 - 13:35 gmt
Moron said ...
Dear FSA,

u don't work....u sleep when u shud work...u don't want to work.....bcos u r rather complacent.....and that is precisely why we love u....I HAVE SPOKEN!!!

Moron Capital Partners

12 Aug 09 - 13:43 gmt
anonymous said ...
hvar was so 2007 just like the rest of your pointless witterings

12 Aug 09 - 13:44 gmt
author of a blog said ...
Hey is there some way to email Finbar Taggitt...is he really a H Fund manager or just a blogger? I have some great tips/strategies...all free of charge!!

12 Aug 09 - 14:04 gmt
author of a blog said ...
anon 13.44 Hvar is lovely...admittedly lots of aussies and kiwi backpackers lowering the class of the place, but places like carpe diem are filled with retrenched traders like me...Hula beach on the jettie is fantastic fun too...warm weather, music blaring, women in bikinis...bliss

12 Aug 09 - 14:08 gmt
Moron said ...
hula beach on the jetty.......no wonder u are a retrenched trader mate......did u try on one of the grass skirts as well:)))

12 Aug 09 - 14:14 gmt
author of a blog said ...
Moron the place is called Hula hula beach club and is on the jetty as there is no beach there

12 Aug 09 - 14:23 gmt
anonymous said ...
aoab...your cockery knows no limits

12 Aug 09 - 15:19 gmt
anonymous said ...
Agreed

12 Aug 09 - 15:30 gmt
author of a blog said ...
V good video over at zero hedge with Dr Taleb and Roubini on cnbc squawk

@Fintag are you a fan of Taleb and Roubini?

12 Aug 09 - 17:42 gmt
anonymous said ...
please someone shoot aoab, his lame ass musings should be confined to the garbage where they belong. clearly you were retrenched because you were dull as well as useless.

12 Aug 09 - 19:42 gmt
Moron said ...
oink oink oink!!!!

12 Aug 09 - 23:46 gmt

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