28JAN09:
Q1-09 DOW: 8900
Q2-09 DOW: 7250
Q3-09 DOW: 5810
Q4-09 DOW: 3960
CITI NATIONALIZED
OBAMA GETS SICK 27AUG09:
Mini Crash 21SEP09 Predicted correctly:
Bailout=Bonuses
Demise of Bear Stearns
Demise of Lehman Bros.
Demise of AIG
Subprime would cause problems
Date of 2007 crash
CRAs were to blame
G20 riots were a party
Northern Rock run
Northern Rock Nationalization
HBOS and RBS demise
UBS really was Useless
Old fashioned banks, the ones who are conservative and have strong balance sheets don't really look at their p&ls. They prefer to time series their returns on assets. That is income on shareholders reserves. The top of the income statement divided by the bottom of the balance sheet. Something like that.
Bonus driven banks love a fat profit and prefer to see healthy revenues (realised, unrealised and speculative commitments) as the way to judge success. The regulators don't like this and of course us Hedgies too live year by year.
We make our profits and then at the end of the year take them as income. Such short sighted behavior is not healthy but that is because we have to do it. Hedge Fund managers have no real value, but a fund that has a bond like annuity certainly does which is why there are many funds being bought and sold right now by cash starved managers. A fat 12 months termination fee is better than holding onto a withering vine.
Some investors are angry that they could get less favorable treatment than others, depending on how they invested with Mr. Madoff — directly, or indirectly through so-called feeder funds — and how much they withdrew before the Ponzi scheme collapsed.
“It's been your typical reality-show kind of fighting,” said Jen Meerow Berniker, 32, a second-generation Madoff customer whose retiree parents lost their life savings through a feeder fund. “It's every man for himself right now.”
Fintag says Til the bitter end. I much more interested in reading this though ...
new york times says " Pillow Fights at the Four Seasons "
However, I still stand by my prediction that the Madman will be out in the next couple of years. He has pleaded, his family have been spared and Obama is as soft as a caramel chocolate on a hot day and will ensure behind the scenes the man doesn't pass away in prison.
SWISS HEDGE FUND SHOP TO BET ON RETURN OF LUXURY TRAVEL
The global economy may be in shambles, but that isn't stopping one hedge fund manager from betting that corporate jet travel and swanky seafaring will soon be back in style.
Swiss-based fund of hedge funds shop Pentium Fund is readying to launch a new vehicle that will invest in such high-end items as yachts and jets, according to Alternative Investment News.
Fintag says Following my once in a lifetime EasyJet ride a couple of weeks ago, this story is sweetness to my ego.
In a small office in London's upscale West End, three veterans of high finance are getting ready to start their own hedge fund.
It's a scene that was common enough in the world's financial hubs during the boom years. But in the post-Lehman, post-Madoff and post-credit-crunch world, starting a hedge fund has become harder, riskier and potentially less lucrative. So why do it? That's what DealBook recently asked Mahmood Noorani, one of the founding partners of the new London-based fund, Gyldmark Liquid Macro Fund.
Fintag says The dinosaurs like me need to be tested and it is pleasing to see youngsters (although they are older than me) taking a trip down Hedge Fund alley. If I was Neil Young they are La Roux. Talking of which, I had a fun time at Glasto; although I saw it in HD on TV as befitting a man who doesn't need to sleep in fields.
KING OF POP'S DEBT, PRIVATE EQUITY AND HIS HEDGE FUND SAVIOR
Michael Jackson, the legendary pop start who died yesterday at 50, made an awful lot of money in his four decades in the music and entertainment business. He also lost a lot of money, especially over the past decade, leading to a few scraps with the alternative investments industry.
But alts firms came to the King of Pop's rescue just as often, and a hedge fund was one of the major backers of Jackson's planned comeback.
Fintag says As usual, we are here to clear up the mess. Anything where Fortress and Citi are involved needs careful handling but Colony who own some of Jackson's old assets may have underestimated how a Judy Garland type legend could have possibly jumped around on stage at his age. I mean Madonna and Mick Jagger workout everyday and it didn't look like this sad man could moonwalk. Sometimes slippers, a cardigan and a pipe are better options.
Caxton Associates, the hedge fund founded in 1983 by US billionaire Bruce Kovner, has enlisted an administrator to value its assets, as investors pressure even the world's largest hedge funds to engage independent parties to check the worth of their investments.
Fintag says They are all falling like flies. I have been banging on the third party valuation drum for years and now the ear plugs are out, these huge marked to my prices funds are having to do what most European and Asian funds have been doing for years. That is come clean.
Of course timing is perfect. Self pricing during the illiquidity boom saved them many NAV bips and now things are turning round, a positive marketing campaign on how Caxton are so open and transparent seems to follow the tide of Investor demands.
In an interesting paper, Aghion, Algan, Cahuc and Shleifer show that regulation is greater in societies where people do not trust one another. The graph below, for example, shows that societies with a greater level of distrust have stronger minimum wage laws. Note that the result is not that distrust in markets is associated with stronger minimum wages but that distrust in general is associated with greater regulation of all kinds. Distrust in government, for example, is positively correlated with regulation of business. Or to put it the other way, trust in government (as well as other institutions) is associated with less regulation.
Fintag says Interesting indeed.
FORTIS INVESTOR GROUP TO LAUNCH CLASS ACTION AGAINST DUTCH STATE
A group of investors in troubled financial company Fortis is in talks with foreign pension funds to launch a US class action style complaint against the Dutch state.
FortisEffect - a foundation which has assembled some 1,200 investors in Fortis Holding, and is represented by law firm De Gier Business Law - alleges the Dutch state played a role in the losses incurred by investors after the company was nationalised in September 2008.
Fintag says Suing governments is tricky but I feel for these people. Fortis have been a love and hate affair for many a Hedge Fund and we all like to see incompetence punished.
13 comments
anonymous said ...
first?
29 Jun 09 - 07:19 gmt
MsR said ...
Urban croquet. Mmmm. How utterly post-modern.
29 Jun 09 - 08:28 gmt
Moron said ...
Funny when madman moron doesnt post things go dead:)))
29 Jun 09 - 16:42 gmt
MsR said ...
It's heatstroke Moron. I note Mayfair has a high proportion of pasty ruddy cheeked types who obviously work in finance. Must all be lying down being given saline solutions now.
29 Jun 09 - 16:49 gmt
Navajo Joe said ...
I'm seeing tumbleweed rolling across Mayfair today...
29 Jun 09 - 16:58 gmt
Moron said ...
well Lena.....its not heatstroke...its more that madman Moron is the heart and soul of every party:)))))
29 Jun 09 - 17:25 gmt
Moron appreciation society said ...
All hail Moron...ruler of all us morons!!
29 Jun 09 - 17:56 gmt
Top Cat said ...
I walked down Curzon Street twice today. Saw no red men, just lots of (female) cleavage. No complaints here.
29 Jun 09 - 18:57 gmt
MsR said ...
I saw a man in those red trousers that Ms Toastpoints commented on. She is right about those. Moron is that claim proven?
29 Jun 09 - 19:42 gmt
Moron said ...
who the f is ms toastpoints:)))
29 Jun 09 - 19:47 gmt
MsR said ...
Moron, she is an occasionally regular commenter. Pay attention.