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Fortune Telling
28JAN09:
Q1-09 DOW: 8900
Q2-09 DOW: 7250
Q3-09 DOW: 5810
Q4-09 DOW: 3960
CITI NATIONALIZED
OBAMA GETS SICK
27AUG09:
Mini Crash 21SEP09
Predicted correctly:
Bailout=Bonuses
Demise of Bear Stearns
Demise of Lehman Bros.
Demise of AIG
Subprime would cause problems
Date of 2007 crash
CRAs were to blame
G20 riots were a party
Northern Rock run
Northern Rock Nationalization
HBOS and RBS demise
UBS really was Useless


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THE FINTAG NEWSLETTER
@ Wed 04 March 2009 : GMT

Pizza

FINTAG COMMENT

Collapses.

Yesterday I put up a cnbc clip of Soros ranting about Obama killing off America. The rich man has a point. Whilst the poor man in the street cuts back on expenditure, reigns in debt and stops to think about life, 2 term Obama is thinking about his political career and not the long term systemic risks he is numbing but ultimately feeding.

BO wants to buy back debt, print money and bail out those his advisors think should be saved. There is no consultatation or debate, just knee jerk socialist panic. Charles Darwin must be turning in his grave. If something is no longer fit for purpose, it has to die. We can be all puppy dog and liberal but the reality is not all of us will escape in one piece. So why is AIG still being looked after? Nobody knows why. Insurance companies are nothing but ponzi schemes so who cares?

Take us hedgies. Many of us have been wiped out (although this one seems to be doing ok). But this is good, for those who are left will be able to make more money for their investors. No more Hedge Funds for Dummies types trying to jump on the dot com bubble after it burst but solid managers with strong skills and insight into the future. Less AUM (or FUM to our American friends) means more opportunities to seek out alpha.

So I am lovin' it. I feel sorry for those caught up but you did vote the Boring O because he spoke nicely. This was wrong. America needs a 1 term president who acts for the country and not for a second term. This is why I still believe John McCain would have taken the tough choices like letting AIG go into chapter 11 and letting Bank of America and Citi go to the dogs.

The wounds are too big to stop with sticky plaster. If one of my dogs was in a bad way and was a no hoper, he would be taken to the vets. And put down. Best to take the dying entity, AIG, around the back and beat it with a shovel. It will benefit us all in the long run.

But enough. Here is the rest of the news ...

Todays theme is the Moron.

STIMULUS FLOWS INTO PATCHWORK OF STATE TRANSPORT PROJECTS

new york times

Kansas will widen U.S. 69 to remove a bottleneck outside Kansas City, along with a few other expensive projects. Maryland will spend its money in smaller pieces, resurfacing dozens of rutted roads and highways. Colorado will build an interchange on Elk Creek Road in Jefferson County, complete with an underpass for the elk....
Fintag says
Just like Japan, the holes will be dug and filled in and for a short period of time the pain eases. But then the time comes and the pain is so bad the people revolt and BO is relegated to the status of a Stalin. I shake my head in disbelief. Building a few bridges and sorting out a few roads helps very few indeed.

Remember when commies were stoned to death in the USA? What would John Wayne think?

America is now a communist country. Cuba will be delighted.

abc says" Bullish Obama Suggests Nation Should Buy! Buy! "

BOOK PROMOTION

big barry

The deal is now official, so I can make the announcement: Wiley is the new publisher of Bailout Nation. They wee one of more than a dozen publishers that approached me about the book.

The denial from the PR weenies at McGraw Hill was classic. Here is my favorite part:

The book didn't meet our editorial standards,” Mary Skafidas, a McGraw-Hill spokeswoman in New York, said in an e- mailed statement. “When we could not come up with a unified approach, we released him from his contract.”

Mary, we both know that is not true.
Fintag says
It is so exciting see bloggers I have grown up with publishing books. My foray into the publishing world last year was less successful - I had to set up a publishing company so even my Editor couldn't say no (its called lazy dog press ) - but the resulting fun was fun and a half.

I have been called many times by big boy publishers including Penguin and Wiley to write a book. The problem is most books sell less than 5000 copies in a lifetime. It is a painful process.

However, I have a couple of projects on the way.

1. A book called "The Vicar of Debauchery" about a deviant hedge fund manager who turns to the cloth and then turns his church into a brothel.
2. A book called "Hank Paulson: My part in his downfall" about a shy retiring blogger who writes about the world that nobody else sees and forsees a great depression starting on 17th October 2007.
3. [Editor: Enough. I don't allow product placement]



cnn says " Inside the Bear Stearns boiler room "


FORD, GM SALES HALVED AMID AUTO INDUSTRY MELTDOWN

marketwatch

Ford Motor Co., General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC on Tuesday reported February U.S. vehicle declines of at least 44%, marking the worst month in decades as plunging home values and mounting job losses turned consumers away from big purchases.

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of light vehicle sales came in at 9.12 million vehicles, which is the lowest level since December of 1981, according to Autodata.

GM sales analyst Mike DiGiovanni said it was the worst February in 42 years of recordkeeping. Most on Wall Street had called for sales rate in the low 9 million vicinity, down from 9.6 million last month, which marked a 26-year low.
Fintag says
Cars are so last year.

FSA BRINGS FORWARD CFD DISCLOSURE RULES

times

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) has brought forward new rules that will force some investors to disclose stakes they have been secretly building in listed companies in its latest attempt to calm the markets by increasing their transparency.

The rules, which require an investor holding more than 3 per cent of a company's equity through complex derivatives contracts to disclose their stakes, were to be introduced in September.
Fintag says
Good luck. This is not as easy as it sounds. Many CFDs are held for a very short period of time and traded intraday. It is a contract for differences and only exists because of the archane tax rules on the LSE.

If they removed the tax, CFD's would die.

These regulators are morons.

BRUSSELS BEGINS PREPARATION OF HEDGE FUND REGULATIONS

hedge funds review

Following the publication of the EU taskforce report by former French central banker Jacques de Larosière, the European Commission held a two-day conference on private equity and hedge funds to discuss regulation of private investment funds and issues arising from the European Commission's consultation paper on hedge funds.

While there is still disagreement on whether further regulation is needed, it was clear from the Brussels meeting that for Internal Market Commissioner Charlie McCreevy, responsible for hedge funds, and Poul Nyrup Rasmussen, member of the European Parliament and president of the European Socialists party, the time for self-regulation had passed. EU rules are being prepared.
Fintag says
Ha! So tell me what is a Hedge Fund? I don't run hedge funds, I manage assets. Therefore it is not applicable to me.

This is the problem. Hedge Funds are private pools of capital. How can a government tell me how I can and cannot invest? It is totally unworkable.

Morons.

MAJOR UK PENSION SCHEME STICKS BY HEDGE FUND MOVE

yahoo!

Britain's second-largest pension fund, the Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS (Frankfurt: 925637 - news) ), said it was sticking by a medium-term plan to double exposure to alternative assets such as hedge funds and private equity.
The 23 billion pound ($32.79 billion) pension scheme confirmed the target as it announced its first appointment to a new hedge funds team on Monday.

USS currently has 10 percent exposure to alternatives, making it already one of the more adventurous UK pension funds.
Fintag says
See. We are the future. Any hedge fund that cannot make more than libor plus 100 bips is not worthy of survival. I love low interest rates ...

ACKMAN'S TARGET FUND DOWN 33% IN FEBRUARY

finalternatives

William Ackman had better be honing his apologetic tone. The Pershing Square Capital Management chief's hedge fund that invests only in Target Corp. securities continued to post big losses last month, it told its dwindling band of investors.

Pershing Square IV lost 33.3% of what little money it has left in February, bringing its loss since inception to 93%, Bloomberg News reports. The losses are more than three times that suffered by the retailer last month.
Fintag says
Oh dear. What went wrong?

dealbook says " Barclays Executive Moves to Renaissance "


BERNANKE'S AIG BLAST MAY MEAN MORE CURBS ON RISK, CONCENTRATION

bloomberg

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's blast at American International Group Inc. in Senate testimony yesterday suggests regulators plan further curbs on risk and concentration in the financial-services industry.

“If there is a single episode in this entire 18 months that has made me more angry, I can't think of one other than AIG,” Bernanke told the Senate Budget Committee yesterday. The crippled insurer, which is now under government control, “exploited a huge gap in the regulatory system,” he said.
Fintag says
Poor man. He gets so emotional.




HEDGE HOG IS COP KIN

new york post

The accused hedge-fund scammer who got busted last week because of the Bernard Madoff scandal is a rotten apple who fell far from the tree of his law-enforcement family, The Post has learned.

James Nicholson's younger brother, Kevin Nicholson, is an NYPD captain in The Bronx, neighbors confirmed yesterday.
Fintag says
Wow, that headline is almost as bad at my efforts of sophisticated humor.



73 comments
anonymous said ...
Is that a Pizza?

04 Mar 09 - 07:05 gmt
Jaa said ...
its a pile of vomit

04 Mar 09 - 07:24 gmt
Osiris said ...
not pizza, it's sperm on cooked bread isn't it?

04 Mar 09 - 07:58 gmt
Panta said ...
Italian English made pizza..

04 Mar 09 - 08:04 gmt
Moron said ...
it is donkey food:))))!!!

04 Mar 09 - 08:27 gmt
MsR said ...
It's not a pizza. It's an exhibit at the Tate Modern with a title like "A Walk in the Woods then Purgatory."

04 Mar 09 - 08:36 gmt
anonymous said ...
You've still not mastered text wrapping then?

04 Mar 09 - 08:38 gmt
Jaa said ...
MsR ... Bingo!

04 Mar 09 - 08:50 gmt
MsR said ...
@Jaa: Do I get a prize?

04 Mar 09 - 08:56 gmt
Jaa said ...
MsR. Do you have bingo wings?

04 Mar 09 - 09:01 gmt
MsR said ...
@Jaa. No I do not. I am very fit according to the boys at the gym. My arms are very toned- all those press ups.

04 Mar 09 - 09:08 gmt
HFM turned gym expert at 13:45 said ...
MsR - girls who do press ups have guns and odd chests, i wouldn't advise any girl to do more than 5 at a time and on your hands an knees.

04 Mar 09 - 09:22 gmt
Panta said ...
@ Fin: Hey mate are you taking some lcd recently? Your post are becoming much more brilliant...these last days.
Ps will you take me in the "brothel"?

04 Mar 09 - 09:28 gmt
MsR said ...
@HFM: Come to Gymbox in Holborn and meet me sometime. Or look in the pic in the sidebar on my blog. All men like girls on their hands and knees:) Having said that I am off for a run.

04 Mar 09 - 09:29 gmt
Osiris said ...
yeah in the short term i don't want to call the AUD until the 3 chinese commodity deals go through. on the other hand my brother is being an idiot and going on holiday in the uk and europe in june, and imo it'll be down 10% by then.

04 Mar 09 - 09:40 gmt
Panta said ...
LSD I meant...sry

04 Mar 09 - 10:49 gmt
Moron said ...
i am a bored donkey:((...dull market!!

04 Mar 09 - 11:40 gmt
anonymous said ...
No your just a DONKEY!!!

04 Mar 09 - 12:14 gmt
Moron said ...
who's fitter mate...sis or wife???

04 Mar 09 - 12:25 gmt
anonymous said ...
"abc says" 'Bullish' Obama Suggests Nation Should Buy! Buy! "

Did you misspell a word in the above clip???????

04 Mar 09 - 12:39 gmt
Boaster said ...
Browser here at Scottish bank is still restricting your attached pics & windows so I missed the Soros clip yesterday. Add that to Buffett's comments and you have two pro-Obama finance types turning against The One. Just the beginning.

04 Mar 09 - 12:46 gmt
anonymous said ...
Whatever happened to the poster who went by the name of " Bart Simpson " - His anti-moron comments were hilarious!!!

04 Mar 09 - 12:50 gmt
Moron said ...
he got marooned by moron:)))!

04 Mar 09 - 12:51 gmt
Boaster said ...
Finbar's relying on his commentors for inspiration: today the "Moron" theme, recently a "Boast" heading. Though mine is not the proud, self-admiring kind. I'll buy drinks for the first to decipher my name.

04 Mar 09 - 12:54 gmt
Super Mario said ...
Moron what your views on EM mkts...China, brasil etc...Shanghai had big surge over last few days

04 Mar 09 - 12:56 gmt
Osiris said ...
Bank Of America ( - ster)

04 Mar 09 - 13:13 gmt
Panta said ...
SBORATE.....!!!!! O MY GOD.. This isn't nice :)

04 Mar 09 - 13:34 gmt
Panta said ...
Where are my drinks?

04 Mar 09 - 13:36 gmt
Super Mario said ...
@Panta you should have sake bombs to celebrate mate. I did last fri and ended up at a random italian house party in N Ldn

04 Mar 09 - 13:47 gmt
13:45 said ...
I am a member of a proper old school gym. When i first joined one of the first thing they said to me was "this is fuc*king hard core, white boy..." I love it. But as i said the other day i got a brick through my window, i have just remembered that i have forgotten to pay - one rule and one rule only 'to avoid confusion, pay on time.'
might pop in to boxing gym on the way home!

04 Mar 09 - 13:47 gmt
Panta said ...
@Super Mario...tody is my offically last day...an i think i will celebrate for @ least a week...by the way you can show up at me leaving drinks..Today starts a new era...Italian Rules!!!

04 Mar 09 - 13:52 gmt
Panta said ...
O my god my english is getting even worse

04 Mar 09 - 13:53 gmt
Moron said ...
sorry for delay...was out for long boozy lunch...so what do i think abt EM markets.....toxic crap!!....always touted for their great potential....until they shhot themselves in the foot....societies built on sand...and run by clay men!!

04 Mar 09 - 14:03 gmt
MsR said ...
@Moron: You sound really chirpy and jolly at the moment. Have you been getting laid a lot?

04 Mar 09 - 14:16 gmt
Moron said ...
women r easy Ms R......I'm sure u know that:)))

04 Mar 09 - 14:18 gmt
MsR said ...
@Moron: If they don't have a lot to offer Moron, I agree yes they'll put out easily.

04 Mar 09 - 14:26 gmt
Moron said ...
ms R .. even if they have a lot to offer...they still put out easily...as they go through life...the poor creatures simply realize that they were just put on this earth to serve us...their male masters....which is sad really...bcos imho women are far more evolved than us men:))))

04 Mar 09 - 14:34 gmt
MsR said ...
@Moron: Ha ha, I'd run rings around you Moron:)

04 Mar 09 - 14:48 gmt
Boaster said ...
Great effort, Osiris, I like it. Alas, incorrect.

04 Mar 09 - 14:50 gmt
Moron said ...
Boaster = Bart Simpson!!!:)))

04 Mar 09 - 14:51 gmt
Moron said ...
ms R... a women as smart as you once broke my heart very badly many years ago....she is still my inspiration.....everything i have...i owe to her....there is no pain greater than the pain a woman can inflict on a man....and there is no greater inspiration either:))))


04 Mar 09 - 14:55 gmt
Boaster said ...
Oh, Panta, that was directed at me? Perhaps "decipher" was the wrong word. Nothing needs to be reworked. I boast, I am a boaster. Come on, aren't there any boys from Harrow's out there?! Shesh...


04 Mar 09 - 15:01 gmt
MsR said ...
@moron: I always knew there lurked a man who'd lived far beyond nightclubs and champagne behind the banter.

04 Mar 09 - 15:03 gmt
Moron said ...
yes.....and behind even that man...there lurks something even far greater............a donkey:))))

04 Mar 09 - 15:28 gmt
fitzcaraldo said ...
Fin, why that pizza picture to go with today's collapse theme - are you also contemplating the collapse of good taste?

04 Mar 09 - 15:39 gmt
anonymous said ...
For once your right Moron............your a Donkey who got lucky with a few spread bets

04 Mar 09 - 15:41 gmt
anonymous said ...
Moron - I expect you have never been laid, would soil your trousers if you ever brushed past a woman, don't manage any money, or if you do you day trade with a few grand of your own money. You're a fraud

04 Mar 09 - 15:46 gmt
Anonymous Bull said ...
Well said fellow anons. I have had my suspicions about Moron too. He sounds like a day trader. How bigs the book Moron $1000?

04 Mar 09 - 15:55 gmt
Moron said ...
incredible bitterness....emboldened by one up day in the market...here...let me throw u a bone.....doug kass on realmoney thinks yesterday was the bottom for the year....this just might be ur chance to redeem urself.....loser!

04 Mar 09 - 15:56 gmt
anonymous said ...
Not a denial eh Moron? Have you ever been with a woman? Other than Ariane B

04 Mar 09 - 16:00 gmt
Moron said ...
have i ever been with a woman......been with many mate....loved a few....lost them all....happier for that:)))

04 Mar 09 - 16:04 gmt
anonymous said ...
As I thought. Never been with a woman.

04 Mar 09 - 16:11 gmt
Moron said ...
think what u wish...whatever lights ur fire...no problems at my end:)

04 Mar 09 - 16:16 gmt
Jaa said ...
Bitter anons again... you seem to know an awful lot about spread betting... let me guess.. you cost Mr Spencer some money.. went long begining of the year and... boo hoo....
Enjoy your new yacht Moron :))

04 Mar 09 - 16:23 gmt
Moron said ...
:))

04 Mar 09 - 16:29 gmt
anonymous said ...
Jaa - get your nose out of Moron's butt will you?

04 Mar 09 - 16:49 gmt
Moron said ...
so amazingly bitter!!

04 Mar 09 - 16:49 gmt
AthenaDelphi said ...
@MrsR - how did the drinking go last night?

Fin - I'm sorry that my 1 informed vote was matched by an Oprah vote x 4 million. 80% of those that voted for BO did so for a reason that had nothing to do with his actual policies. They just liked listening to him or that he was black. Even my office mgr fell for the cult of O (did you see his new seal for economic improvement? Straight from the Kremlin). I feel like firing her but I merely told her there would be no bonuses this year.

04 Mar 09 - 16:56 gmt
AthenaDelphi said ...
We've lost 3000 points since this moron BO was elected. He goes out and tells everyone its a good time to buy. Suckers if you do because he's going to whack energy - the biggest portion of the dow now - he's nationalizing healthcare - there goes the pharma companies - and now he's going after military contractors but wants to give more $$ to "government" workers.

04 Mar 09 - 17:01 gmt
Jaa said ...
anon.. how hurtful you are... get a life, if you have any cash left to do so....hahaha

04 Mar 09 - 17:04 gmt
AthenaDelphi said ...
I had no love for "Mac" either but voted for the little weasel thinking he'd be a republican lite - pro business more then BO who kept hinting in his speeches at his leftist tilt. Little did we know the hatred BO has for this country that has to do with what he 'felt' happened to him with a biracial family. He's a PhD course waiting to happen - the search for BO's Modus Operendi and why he hates capitalism.

04 Mar 09 - 17:07 gmt
Jaa said ...
that was a shit rally... here we go again... watch this space bullboys, i guess you have bought it again..

04 Mar 09 - 17:09 gmt
Moron said ...
typical bullsh*t rally:)))....but I am concerned about Doug Kass' call......what is he thinking...publicity stunt??

04 Mar 09 - 17:12 gmt
Jaa said ...
didn't see it... its a futile trying to pick or call a low so probably a publicity stunt. the best indicator would be our bullish mates chucking in the towel.. haha.. loosers


04 Mar 09 - 17:20 gmt
Moron said ...
bitter...very bitter.....they have obviously been pi**ed over one time too many....sad!

04 Mar 09 - 17:24 gmt
Jaa said ...
Guffaw.... :))

04 Mar 09 - 17:31 gmt
Moron said ...
Jim Cramer is a work of art...earlier today he was hyping up Doug Kass' call as the call of the decade and what not....and now he turns around and says...no banks...no rally:)))) ONE MAN MARKETING MACHINE!!

04 Mar 09 - 17:44 gmt
Moron said ...
anyways....i am still a donkey:)))

04 Mar 09 - 18:03 gmt
Jaa said ...
hehehe.... another tool :)

04 Mar 09 - 18:06 gmt
anonymous said ...
where's edmund burke when you need him?

04 Mar 09 - 19:14 gmt
Kenny said ...
"OBAMA GETS SICK" I think it maybe his wife that gets sick.

04 Mar 09 - 21:30 gmt
anonymous said ...
fin - if you read the last comments of the day/night before posting your next day's postings please see this article titled : Recipe for Disaster: The Formula That Killed WallStreet. Seems a Chinese mathematician is to blame for EVERYTHING.

h t t p://www.wired.com/techbiz/it/magazine/17-03wp_quant?currentPage=all

05 Mar 09 - 03:19 gmt
anonymous said ...
for once I agree with Moron - re: Cramer.


05 Mar 09 - 03:20 gmt

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